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العنوان
تقدير وتحليل مؤشرات البقاء باستخدام بعض نماذج سلاسل ماركوف المختلفة /
المؤلف
العلوي, أميرة عبدالغني عبدالغني.
هيئة الاعداد
باحث / أميرة عبدالغني عبدالغني العلوي
مشرف / محمد توفيق البلقيني
مشرف / مهاإبراهيم الزعفراني
مشرف / هشام محمدالمنجي
الموضوع
المشكلات الإجتماعية. التنمية الإقتصادية. الإحصاء التطبيقى. الإحصاء. التأمين.
تاريخ النشر
2015.
عدد الصفحات
99 ص. :
اللغة
العربية
الدرجة
ماجستير
التخصص
الإحصاء والاحتمالات
تاريخ الإجازة
01/01/2015
مكان الإجازة
جامعة المنصورة - كلية التجارة - الإحصاء التطبيقى والتأمين
الفهرس
يوجد فقط 14 صفحة متاحة للعرض العام

from 99

from 99

المستخلص

The development and expansion of Health Care Services is One of the corner stone’s of the strategy for economic and social development and targeted attention to human resource development, as they come in response to the problems of social and environmental faced by the individual and society. Treatment medical effective for many of the diseases will contribute to the development of GDP and movement progress in the community and treatment. Effective for many of the diseases that will contribute to the development of national output and developmental movement in the community as well as providing the best services to all classes of people. UsingMarkov chains models in wide format lead to construct many statistical models which has substation effect on the study prospects for survival .In order to identify the hazard function on the apparent study, hence the importance of this study comes in being one of the few research in the field of Biostatistics and highlight models of Survival Analysis using the model non-homogenized Markov model. To make it a leader point to other studies where theMarkov model is one of the modern methods, in addition to that plan dealing from Enforced data that appears when you take time into consideration in search is the follow-up group of patients in breast cancer by studying the stages they are going through and note the effect of the treatment methods they cost as well as to identify the most important variables that affect on breast cancer and knowing the factors that has significant effecton the hazard rate during the period of follow-up.
The study concluded that the regression Cox models is an efficient method in the calculation of survival for the life of the patients on the basis of a method of treatment which is taken as well as the matrix of Markov heterogeneous indicators have shown that that hormone has a good effect to avoid a relapse, while if this treatment was not applied, the transition probability from not relapse to relapse increases and takes great values strictly, in addition to that, when the patient is in the case of relapse, the risk of death increases with time, but from the results it can be concluded that the risk of death of the patient non-relapsing larger than the Relapse patient and therefore the non-relapse can not be considered as a sign of death marks.