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العنوان
Bayesian identification of double seasonal autoregressive models /
الناشر
Dina Ali Bekhet ,
المؤلف
Dina Ali Bekhet
هيئة الاعداد
باحث / Dina Ali Bekhet
مشرف / Mohamed Ali Ismail
مشرف / Mohamed Ali Ismail
مشرف / Mohamed Ali Ismail
تاريخ النشر
2017
عدد الصفحات
70 P. :
اللغة
الإنجليزية
الدرجة
ماجستير
التخصص
الإحصاء والاحتمالات
تاريخ الإجازة
18/2/2018
مكان الإجازة
جامعة القاهرة - كلية اقتصاد و علوم سياسية - Statistics
الفهرس
Only 14 pages are availabe for public view

from 101

from 101

Abstract

The main goal of this study is to solve the identification problem for double seasonal autoregressive models from Bayesian point of view. Two Bayesian identification techniques are employed; namely the direct and the indirect. A 585 simulation studies are conducted to assess the efficiency of both proposed Bayesian techniques. They are also compared with non Bayesian one (Akaike Information Criterion: AIC) taking in consideration the affected factors. These factors include the model order (p, P₁, P₂) the sampling variance (x⁻¹), the series length (n), the seasonal periods (s₁, s₂), and the model coefficients ({u0264}). Results showed that the indirect technique is superior to direct one. Finally the Bayesian identification approaches are applied on six real time series data