الفهرس | Only 14 pages are availabe for public view |
Abstract This thesis highlights the need of many organizations today for effective early warning information systems (EEWIS) that can predict the future and help in preventing crises and reducing their harmful effects. The main problem facing any early warning information system (EWIS) is the lack of effectiveness. An effective EWIS should be based on a reliable, dynamic and consistent model, however the models currently available are mostly deterministic, simplistic or inconsistent in application and assumptions; thus making them unreliable and impractical. The goals of this thesis are: Firstly, to provide guidelines for system analysts, designers, engineers and experts seeking to deal with crisis or disaster information systems; secondly, to present a novel model for EEWIS that can improve the efficiency of organizations in terms of crisis preparedness; and thirdly, to build an EEWIS that is capable of increasing the accuracy of information and empowering individuals and communities threatened by man-made hazards to act in sufficient time and in an appropriate manner so as to reduce the possibility of personal injury, loss of life and damage to property or to the environment |