الفهرس 
Title : Assessment of Climate Changes Impact on Coastal Vulnerability for Feasibility of Developing New Communities
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Abstract
This research proposes a framework for assessing climate changes impacts on coastal vulnerability for feasibility of developing new sustainable communities. The proposed framework overcomes the difficulty of detecting the devastating effects of climate change on coastal communities to achieve sustainability in those communities. As such, the most appropriate adaptation strategies for these communities can be selected. It helps in converging views of government decision-makers and analysts, in prioritization processes, and the selection of the most critical parameter that is affected by climate change. The research integrates Remote Sensing (RS), Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques, and Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) for developing new sustainable coastal zones that have the ability to resist various climatic changes. The proposed framework is developed in three phases: 1) climate data collection and processing, 2) Coastal Climate Impacts Assessment (CCIA) model development, and 3) implementation and adaptation strategy selection. Climate data collection and processing phase involves determining the most significant climate change parameters and their indicators that affect coastal zones stability, extracting climatic data indicators from different climate database sources, and prioritizing the selected indicators. Three primary sources are considered for data collection namely: remote sensing satellite imagery, meteorological data stations, and geologic maps. Remote sensing satellite imagery is used to extract and acquire various data of climatic indicators. In addition, it is used for observing, mapping and monitoring the changes of land cover. The indicators weights are estimated using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) through a questionnaire survey that was shared with experts in climate change impacts. Coastal Climate Impacts Assessment (CCIA) model development phase involves formulation the proposed model using Geographic Information System (GIS) technique. GIS is responsible for modeling the climate change impacts to discover the vulnerable areas according to the most dominant impact and examining the general strategic plan in the context of resulted vulnerable areas using ESRI ArcGIS software. The implementation and adaptation strategy selection phase involves the application of the framework to a case study of Al-Alamein new city in Egypt. A sensitivity analysis is conducted to measure the behavior of several climate change parameters in order to identify the most critical parameter with respect to climate change for the considered case. Vulnerable strategic locations in Al-Alamein new city are investigated using GIS environment and the general strategic plan of the city. Coastal adaptation strategies to address the effects of climate change are recommended based on the identified vulnerable areas.