الفهرس 
Two Literature reviewOnly 14 pages are availabe for public view
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Abstract
Throughout the years, urban scholars have been interested in
studying Urban Systems and related phenomena. Among such
phenomena is Urban Growth. In its broader concept, Urban Growth
includes the physical, Socio-economic and environmental dimensions (in
a particular area). It involves the transition from non-urban to urban
activities. In a way, Urban Growth is related to the change of land cover,
which happens spatially causing various patterns; functionally in the land
uses and temporally with different time rates.
Accordingly, many theories and researches attempted to explain
how urban growth takes place, what its driving forces and effecting
factors are and what its effects are. In this course, models and
simulations were developed to aid such work.
Overall, modeling is to represent reality of the system to be
studied in a simple and abstract way. In the domain of Urban planning,
modeling could be designed and used for analyzing, evaluating and
forecasting. Thus, it could be helpful for decision-makers to predict what
the results of their decisions are. However, after the developing of
complexity and non-linear theories - the most promising science in the
21st century (Cheng, 2003) -, new development wave of modeling and
simulating appeared to represent these new theories and apply it in the
different fields within them Urban System.
In this thesis Urban Growth System is explored; its driving and
effecting factors - its negative effects. Then, the methods for modeling urban system are presented. After that, some examples of real Urban
Growth models are shown to finally conclude the data required for
building an Urban Growth Model in Egypt, rules, scenario, analysis and
output.