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Abstract The Nile river pass through the countries of Uganda, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo, Eritrea as well as the Sudan and Egypt. Egypt is almost dependent on water that originates from the upstream Nile Basin countries and to a lesser extent so is Sudan. Egypt’s requirements as well as the demands of the other riparian countries will increase along with population growth and economic development. Competition among these states for water would intensify in the future. For that reasons, a comprehensive evaluation and utilization of water resources in the Nile basin is essential under current and future water demand of the upper Nile countries. The main objective of the study is to provide the decision makers in the Nile basin countries with a decision support tool to explore and evaluate different options to manage water supply and demand in the Nile river basin. This tool helps the decision makers to resolve conflict of interests among riparian countries. The study addressed different scenarios of possible increase of future water demands in the upper Nile basin. The consequences on the operation of the Equatorial Lakes and High Aswan Dam (HAD) were studied using a Decision Support System (DSS) for the White and Main Nile. The DSS was developed for the operation of reservoirs on the Nile River. The DSS was utilized to develop tradeoff curves to explore different alternatives for the operation of the Equatorial lakes and the HAD. Some alternative operation for the Equatorial lakes and the HAD were selected and evaluated using set of evaluation criteria such as shortage index, reliability, resilience, and vulnerability. The study presented different alternatives for management of the river Nile basin on both supply side and demand side. On the supply side, the management includes: (I) implementation of Jonglei canal, (2) exploring alternatives for regulation of the Equatorial Lakes, and (3) exploring alternatives for operating the HAD. On the demand side, management includes the application of different measures to control future demand of the upper Nile countries. The results of the study show that: (a) increasing water demands in the Equatorial Lakes region will have direct impact on operation of the Equatorial Lakes. The drought risk may reach 11.2 %at Lake Victoria, 19.3% at Lake Kyoga, and 7.0 I % at Lake Albert. The impact also includes reduction in energy generation of 16.64 % at Owen falls; (b) application of the demand management measures in the Equatorial Lakes region can reduce the impacts offuture water demands on the operation of the Lakes. The drought risk could be reduced to 0.56 % at Lake Victoria, 2.35 % at Lake Kyoga, and 0.75 % at Lake Albert. The reduction of energy generation can be limited to 6.7 % at Owen falls, (c) regulation of the Equatorial Lakes can reduce the drought risk but with little more reduction in energy generation, (d) increasing water demands in the Equatorial Lakes region will have direct impact on the performance of the HAD. The impact includes reduction in ~ual releases and energy generation and increase of water shortage, (e) regulation of the Equatorial Lakes and application of the demand management measures, in the upper Nile countries, can improve the performance of the HAD. Also, some proposed operation for the HAD can improve the performance of the reservoir and reduce water shortage. |